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Circle in Government
 
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Reconciled warning signals in observations and models imply approaching AMOC tip ...
Posted by Mark Field in Climate Change and Climate Tipping Points
Paleoclimate proxy records and models suggest that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) can transition abruptly between a strong and a weak state. Empirical warning signals....
Physics of an AMOC Overshoot in a Box Model
Posted by Mark Field in Climate Change and Climate Tipping Points

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

Recently the global average temperature has temporarily exceeded the 1.5'C goal of the Paris Agreement, and so an overshoot of various climate tipping elements becomes increasingly likely. I....
Targeted calibration to adjust stability biases in non-differentiable complex sy ...
Posted by Mark Field in Climate Change and Climate Tipping Points

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

Numerical models of complex systems like the Earth system are expensive to run and involve many uncertain and typically hand-tuned parameters. In the context of anthropogenic climate change,....
The Dynamics of Social Conventions in LLM populations: Spontaneous Emergence, Co ...
Posted by Mark Field in Climate Change
Social conventions are the foundation for social and economic life. As legions of AI agents increasingly interact with each other and with humans, their ability to form shared conventions wi....